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What to watch on match day 3 of the final round of the 2016-17 CONCACAF Champions League group stage

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The quarterfinal match-ups will be confirmed tonight.

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Just two games left in this year's CONCACAF Champions League group stage, and both matches have implications for the quarterfinal pairings.

The top three seeds for the knockout rounds are set: Vancouver Whitecaps, Arabe Unido, and Pachuca - in that order. Three other teams are confirmed qualifiers for the quarterfinals: UANL Tigres, Saprissa, and New York Red Bulls - in that order.

But there are still two teams left to be added to the final eight, and they could affect the seeding of the bottom five teams. RBNY can be seeded no higher than sixth (unlikely); seventh is most probable, eighth is a possibility.

In Group A, UNAM Pumas need a win or a tie to progress. A win will land the Liga MX team the four or five seed, depending on the margin of victory: a three-goal win is required to push Pumas above Tigres in the standings for the knockout rounds. A tie will see Pumas through as the seven or eight seed. A loss to W Connection would be an extraordinary upset, but if it happens it will see Honduras Progreso win Group A and move on to the quarterfinals as the seven or eight seed.

In Group H, FC Dallas and Suchitepequez play for the right to a knockout round berth. Either team progresses with a win; the draw sends FCD through. The most likely results - anything short of a thrashing for either side - see the winner of Group H through as the bottom seed (unless Pumas stumbles against W Connection). The tie sends FCD through as the bottom seed.

From the New York Red Bulls' perspective, the FCD game is the more significant. In part because a W Connection win over Pumas is too remote a prospect to be excited about, unless it is actually happening with minutes left to play in that game. But either FCD or Suchitepequez could conceivably get it together to win by three or four goals. A three-goal win for FCD likely sends RBNY to the eighth seed and a quarterfinal match-up with Vancouver Whitecaps. Suchitepequez needs a four-goal win to pull clear of RBNY (a 3-0 win over FCD would see the Guatemalan side and the Red Bulls draw lots for the higher seed).

Suchitepequez vs FC Dallas

8:00 pm, Eastern; @ Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City, Guatemala

How to watch (per livesoccertv.com):

TV: Univision Deportes

Online: fubo.tv; CONCACAF Facebook page

The more meaningful of the two final games for RBNY fans. The team progressing from Group H is most likely to be seeded below the Red Bulls, and that most likely sends RBNY into a quarterfinal against Arabe Unido.

But not inevitably. Here's the impact of the various possible results on the Red Bulls:

Any draw: FCD through on Goals Scored tiebreaker; seeded below RBNY

FCD win: FCD through on points.

Win by two goals or less: seeded below RBNY

Win by three goals or more: seeded above RBNY

Suchitepequez win: through on points

Win by two goals or less: seeded below RBNY

Win by three goals: lots drawn with RBNY for higher seed

Win by four goals or more: seeded above RBNY

UNAM Pumas vs W Connection

10:00 pm, Eastern; @ Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City, Mexico

How to watch (per livesoccertv.com):

TV: Univision Deportes

Online: fubo.tv; CONCACAF Facebook page

One for the Pumas fans, hopeless optimists looking for an upset, or insomniacs. This is expected to play out as a comfortable Pumas win.

The cheat sheet:

Pumas win: through on points; seeded above RBNY

Tie: Pumas through on points; seeded below RBNY

W Connection win: Honduras Progreso through on points; seeded below RBNY

Unless something surprising has happened in the earlier game, Red Bulls fans will likely be rooting against underdog W Connection. Not just because of the memory of 2009, but also because if Pumas lose it could put RBNY into the sixth seed and a tricky quarterfinal against Pachuca.